Wind turbines revisited

Back in 2021, when I initially considered a wind turbine, and actually purchased a FuturEnergy AirForce-1 (which has now been acquired by Britwind), I had to find out that financially it really did not pay off to have a micro turbine. Plus, the turbine did not fully convince me, if it could really handle the high wind speeds here in Caithness.

Here is a rough estimate of the energy production and consumption per 24h of the FuturEnergy AirForce-1 for our location at 10m tower height:

FuturEnergy (now: Britwind) AirForce-1 energy generation (avg 7.1m/s at 10m)

As we can see, the turbine does not even come close to what we need. In addition, it cuts off at roughly 11m/s and has a survival speed of 52m/s. So, especially in the winter months when energy is needed most, chances are high that the turbine cuts out and -worst case- breaks if we do not lower it beforehand. This is an additional a nuisance, as lowering the tower is quite an undertaking (taking away all guy lines).

So it is clear, we need something bigger – since “more is more” (the Muldoon principle).

After looking around what works in the Highlands and Islands and what actually got a positive planning decision, I came across two options in the 5kW range:

  • Britwind H5
    aka ISKRA Evance R9000
  • Ryse Energy E5-HAWT

What both turbines have in common:

  • delivery of around 5kW peak power (at 11m/s)
  • cut-off and survival speed 60m/s+ (218km/h or 134mph)

Though the E5 seems to produce energy at lower wind speeds, it seems the H5 is more efficient at higher wind speeds. Here is some data I got from their spec sheets:

Average wind speedBritwind H5 Ryse Energy E5
20290
301900
449633900
591676900
61365310000
71787714300
82158117700
92158120000
102158122500
m/skWh p.a.kWh p.a.

The NOABL wind speed database classifies our location as 7.1m/s (yearly average at 10m) and their report shows the follwoing information at 10m, 12m and 15m height over the year:

MonthHeight 10mHeight 12mHeight 15m
January9.09.29.4
February8.68.88.9
March8.48.58.7
April6.66.86.9
May5.85.96.0
June5..05.15.2
July5.55.55.7
August5.65.75.8
September6.977.1
October7.57.77.8
November7.57.87.8
December8.68.89.0
avg m/savg m/savg m/s

Compared to each other this does not look too dramatically different. But the power being generated increases in a cubic order with doubling wind speeds.

Average wind speeds at different heights over the year

So, when I correlate this information with different turbines to our location for a 15m tower height I get the following data:

Power generation of turbines at different heights

But it becomes more interesting when we compare generated versus required power per day over each month.

Here we see that during the winter months generated power seems to be the same (or capped) at just below 60kWh per day. And it also seems that we have a surplus every month (the orange bar is the power required per day).

Power required vs power generated [kWh per 24h]

And if we now show the surplus/deficit power vs power generated we see that the E5 cannot always produce the required amount:

Ryse Energy E5-HAWT at 15m [kWh per 24h]
Britwind H5 at 15m [kWh per 24h]

From this we can see the following problems:

  • The E5 will not be able to deliver the amount of energy on its own for over 4 months and barely only during half of the year. During summer we can compensate that easily with PV if we so like.
    Hiwever, for winter months this can become harder to achieve.
  • For the H5, the average surplus of power is quite small in August, so chances are high we have to top up as well (easy in August with PV).
  • Based on the current “capacity” of our batteries (86kWh) and the little amount of surplus energy in the darker months, it is quite probable that we run out of power (regardless of the brand).

To illustrate the last point, we have a look at the battery runtime based on our battery “capacity” and required power per day. For a third of a year the runtime is below 2 days. And for half of the year it is below or just over 2 days. Only in the two brightest months of the year we have a runtime of over 4 days.

Battery runtime based on required power [h p.m.]

So, it only needs a short period of calm to run out out of power. Of course, there is a solution to it. Actually, more than one:

  1. Use less energy (such as not to wash for a day when SoC is low).
  2. Use solar to help out (also works in darker months, see our calculation here).
  3. Use diesel (we still have and always will have the backup generator).
  4. Use a bigger battery bank (such as 10 batteries with 144kWh that would give us a runtime of three days).
  5. Use a bigger turbine (see below for a power generation with a Britwind H11) –
    again: Iain knows – “more is more”.

Britwind Desk Assessment

My above values differ quite a lot from the desk assessment that Britwind prepared for me. For the same turbine and tower height they predict a much higher energy prodution:

Britwind desk assessment for Britwind H5 [15m]

If these values were to be achieved, we are less likely to run out of power. Of course, with no wind at all, we still run out of power after exactly the same time. But chances are much lower.

But I rather use my values and be positively surprised if actual generation exceeds my prediction than the other way round as in relying on wrong numbers and have too little energy.

A bigger turbine?

When going for a bigger turbine such as the Britwind H11 we would have excess power so it became unlikely to ever deplete the batteries. We could probably even shrink the size of our battery bank. Or we could run a Bitcoin miner with the excess energy. But, I find that quite a waste. Plus, the bigger turbine is much more expensive, heavier and needs more maintenance (read: even more expensive).

Britwind H11 at 15m [kWh per 24h]

Price and Cost Estimate

When I looked online to get an indication for the price of turbines, I found sources that stated arounf 23'000 GBP for a Britwind H5. The estimates I was given by Britwind range from 35'000 GBP to 45'000 GBP (and optionally a 700 GBP p.a. service contract).

I will have to see what (electrical) components I already have that I can reuse and what works I can do myself (such as preparing the ground) in order to reduce the total cost.

To buy the energy needed (13844kWh p.a.) from Scottish Power I would have to spend nearly 3'000 GBP.

And to produce this from my Diesel generator I would need roughly 4'250l of Diesel and thus spend about 3'250 GBP.

With a turbine lifetime of maybe 20 years, I still do not think this really pays off – unless, of course, fuel prices righ considerably. However, wind power seems to me much more environment friendly (not only compared to Diesel but also to PV).

Conclusion and Next Steps

So, the next step in my evaluation is to get more technical and legal information and requirements about the turbines (such as output voltages, approved electrical eqipment, required permits). Do they work in an off-grid environment – and, if yes, how? How can control our complete electrical system to avoid overchargin, and have safeties and fallbacks in place? I will find out.

And this is it for today.

More Power

What does it take to run an off-grid Household on Wind and Solar only

Our plot in Caithness is not really what you would call developed. The next water line is 2 miles away, and the electricity lines just connect our distant neighbours to the grid.

When I made an enquiry with Scottish Power to get me a grid connection to my plot, I was quite surprised, that I would become the partial owner of the company. At least, this is what you could think, when looking at their price tag.

For the ridiculous amount of 35’000,00+ GBP I would get a grid connection to a single place on my plot. Any other point on the plot, stretching a couple of 100m meters, would have to be installed and paid separately.

This and the news of rising energy prices for the next couple of years made me think. There must be something else we could do, like installing a miniature nucelear power plant on my plot, of have perpetuum mobile generating all the power thatI would ever need.

With nuclear energy out of fashion, and expected Planning Permission to be very unlikely, I actually found the perfect couple of “perpetuum mobile”, seeming just perfect for what I would need. Wind + Solar.

Located at the northern parts of the North Sea, near Wick, wind speed is excellent, as you can see from the map.

Wind Speed m/s @ 10m Height

Distribution over the year shows, most of the wind is to be expected during autumn, winter and spring.

Wind Speed m/s per Year

Furthermore, the actual distribution of wind speed reveals, that 60% of all wind speed is in a usage spectrum for wind turbines:

Distribution of Average Wind Speed m/s

The problem however, in the summer months, there is probably not enough wind to sustain the amount of needed energy production. And the star of our solar system comes into play: solar power.

According to data from the PVGIS-5 database of the European Commission, the expected irradiation of sunlight at our plot roughly looks like this:

Montly Solar Irradiation Estimates

In numbers for the last years 2015 and 2016 that gives some really impressive values:

Local and Global Irradiation monthly kWh/m2

And as we can see from the curve, the sun just starts to shine more when the wind is more asleep.

According to UKPower a medium household in 2019 used 12’000kWh for Gas and 2’900kWh for Electricity, totalling in about 14’900 kWh per year.

This amounts to the following power consumption for a Medium Household:

  • kWh/year 1’4900
  • kWh/month 1’241.67
  • kWh/day 40.83

With some calcuIations from the wind and solar database, I figured out, that with a 5kW turbine and 5m2 of solar panels I could roughly produce this amount of energy over the year:

Power Generation from Wind + Solar with 5kW Turbine and 5m2 Solar

So as we can see, this is just not enough to produce enough energy on your own. But it looks very promising. With more Solar, a larger turbine (or more turbines) or just a backup generator this could easily be addressed.

Regarding backup generator. Of course, energy sources like wind and solar are not stable, so we would have to have some battery storage capacity anyway.

A storage capacity for a single day in 3.2kWh blocks would cost roughly 22’500,00 CHF (list price for a Pylontech US3000). Adding the turbine with 40’000,00 CHF, solar panels 5’000,00 CHF and inverters 20’000,00 CHF you easily end up with a total price of 80’000,00 CHF – 100’000,00 CHF.

Electricity costs of roughly 3’500,00 CHF – 4’000,00 CHF per year will take a 25 years to pay off – if at all. And if the energy prices rise (as heard, by 50%), it would still need a 15+ years to reach a break even.

So what does this mean? There is no perpetuum mobile? And better use the grid and pay as you consume?

Probably not. Betting on higher energy prices, rising inflation, smarter and more efficient technology in the future and outages ocurring more often and often, this could really payoff much earlier than one would think.

Plus, it can be taken as an example, that it might actually be possible to produce your own energy without being dependent on anything else than wind and sun.